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IT sector stabilising; Motilal Oswal sees 16–33% upside in HCL Tech, Coforge

News Team by News Team
November 5, 2025
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IT sector stabilising; Motilal Oswal sees 16–33% upside in HCL Tech, Coforge
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The Indian IT companies business delivered a gentle efficiency within the September 2025 quarter, with almost half of the main gamers exceeding income forecasts and a majority assembly or surpassing margin expectations.

Whereas discretionary expertise spending stays subdued, operational resilience and bettering deal execution recommend that the sector could also be approaching the trough of its demand cycle.

Deal ramp-ups, beneficial seasonality and early advantages from value optimisation applications supported sequential income development.

Administration commentary pointed to secure shopper budgets and a gradual pickup in spending in choose verticals, indicating an bettering tone after a number of quarters of muted demand. Though visibility for the second half stays cautious, the sector seems higher positioned to climate near-term volatility.

Profitability tendencies had been encouraging, aided by foreign money tailwinds, workforce rationalisation and productiveness good points.

ET logo

Dwell Occasions


The depreciation of the rupee towards the greenback offered a lift to working margins, whereas tighter value management helped offset wage hikes and better investments in digital capabilities.Analysts anticipate margins to stay regular within the close to time period, with continued deal with effectivity and utilisation.Structurally, the business is coming into an essential transition section as enterprises transfer from AI experimentation to implementation. Historic patterns present that service development usually follows main {hardware} and platform shifts—seen earlier through the transitions to cloud and cell ecosystems.

With AI infrastructure and use instances maturing, early enterprise adoption is starting to speed up. The report signifies that broad-based AI-led income alternatives might begin to materialise over the following 18–24 months, paving the best way for a brand new development cycle.

Whereas AI monetisation stays nascent, the sector’s readiness, strategic investments and increasing pipeline of transformation offers place it effectively for medium-term development. Valuations are close to long-term averages, suggesting room for re-rating as earnings visibility improves.

Total, the report underscores a sector in stabilisation mode, with bettering execution, resilient margins and a medium-term catalyst rising from AI adoption.

Although a full-fledged restoration will take time, early indicators level towards a gradual and sustainable turnaround in India’s IT companies panorama.

HCL Applied sciences: Goal Rs 1800 | LTP Rs 1544 | Upside 16%

HCL Applied sciences delivered a powerful 2QFY26, with income up 2.4% QoQ CC, forward of estimates and EBIT margin at 17.4%, supported by sturdy deal wins (TCV: USD 2.6b, +16% YoY).

The corporate upgraded its Companies development steering to 4–5% YoY CC, reaffirming regular execution. Development was led by IT companies and ER&D, aided by early traction in AI-led options, which now type ~3% of whole income.

Superior AI platforms like AI Power and AI Manufacturing unit are driving productiveness and non-linear development. We anticipate income/PAT CAGR of 5.3%/7.2% over FY25–27, supported by large-deal ramp-ups, AI adoption and wholesome shopper mining.

Whereas near-term margin pressures from wage hikes and furloughs persist, HCLT stays the fastest-growing large-cap IT agency with robust FCF technology and an all-weather portfolio.

Coforge: Purchase | Goal Rs 2400 | LTP Rs 1796 | Upside 33%

Coforge reported 5.9% QoQ CC income and 18% QoQ PAT development, order consumption of USD 514 mn and a strong EBIT margin of 14%. A 12-month executable order ebook of USD 1.6 bn offers near-term income visibility.

Coforge’s constant quarterly deal wins of >USD 500 mn and Cigniti-led cross-selling synergies are fuelling sturdy momentum. Administration targets 20 massive offers in FY26 (10 already closed in 1HFY26).

Sturdy deal pipeline, excessive order visibility and execution power underpin administration’s 23% YoY natural development outlook for FY26. Coforge stands out as our high choose and a possible development chief within the IT universe.

(The writer is Head – Analysis, Wealth Administration, Motilal Oswal Monetary Companies Ltd)

(Disclaimer: Suggestions, options, views, and opinions given by specialists are their very own. These don’t signify the views of the Financial Instances)

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The Indian IT companies business delivered a gentle efficiency within the September 2025 quarter, with almost half of the main gamers exceeding income forecasts and a majority assembly or surpassing margin expectations.

Whereas discretionary expertise spending stays subdued, operational resilience and bettering deal execution recommend that the sector could also be approaching the trough of its demand cycle.

Deal ramp-ups, beneficial seasonality and early advantages from value optimisation applications supported sequential income development.

Administration commentary pointed to secure shopper budgets and a gradual pickup in spending in choose verticals, indicating an bettering tone after a number of quarters of muted demand. Though visibility for the second half stays cautious, the sector seems higher positioned to climate near-term volatility.

Profitability tendencies had been encouraging, aided by foreign money tailwinds, workforce rationalisation and productiveness good points.

ET logo

Dwell Occasions


The depreciation of the rupee towards the greenback offered a lift to working margins, whereas tighter value management helped offset wage hikes and better investments in digital capabilities.Analysts anticipate margins to stay regular within the close to time period, with continued deal with effectivity and utilisation.Structurally, the business is coming into an essential transition section as enterprises transfer from AI experimentation to implementation. Historic patterns present that service development usually follows main {hardware} and platform shifts—seen earlier through the transitions to cloud and cell ecosystems.

With AI infrastructure and use instances maturing, early enterprise adoption is starting to speed up. The report signifies that broad-based AI-led income alternatives might begin to materialise over the following 18–24 months, paving the best way for a brand new development cycle.

Whereas AI monetisation stays nascent, the sector’s readiness, strategic investments and increasing pipeline of transformation offers place it effectively for medium-term development. Valuations are close to long-term averages, suggesting room for re-rating as earnings visibility improves.

Total, the report underscores a sector in stabilisation mode, with bettering execution, resilient margins and a medium-term catalyst rising from AI adoption.

Although a full-fledged restoration will take time, early indicators level towards a gradual and sustainable turnaround in India’s IT companies panorama.

HCL Applied sciences: Goal Rs 1800 | LTP Rs 1544 | Upside 16%

HCL Applied sciences delivered a powerful 2QFY26, with income up 2.4% QoQ CC, forward of estimates and EBIT margin at 17.4%, supported by sturdy deal wins (TCV: USD 2.6b, +16% YoY).

The corporate upgraded its Companies development steering to 4–5% YoY CC, reaffirming regular execution. Development was led by IT companies and ER&D, aided by early traction in AI-led options, which now type ~3% of whole income.

Superior AI platforms like AI Power and AI Manufacturing unit are driving productiveness and non-linear development. We anticipate income/PAT CAGR of 5.3%/7.2% over FY25–27, supported by large-deal ramp-ups, AI adoption and wholesome shopper mining.

Whereas near-term margin pressures from wage hikes and furloughs persist, HCLT stays the fastest-growing large-cap IT agency with robust FCF technology and an all-weather portfolio.

Coforge: Purchase | Goal Rs 2400 | LTP Rs 1796 | Upside 33%

Coforge reported 5.9% QoQ CC income and 18% QoQ PAT development, order consumption of USD 514 mn and a strong EBIT margin of 14%. A 12-month executable order ebook of USD 1.6 bn offers near-term income visibility.

Coforge’s constant quarterly deal wins of >USD 500 mn and Cigniti-led cross-selling synergies are fuelling sturdy momentum. Administration targets 20 massive offers in FY26 (10 already closed in 1HFY26).

Sturdy deal pipeline, excessive order visibility and execution power underpin administration’s 23% YoY natural development outlook for FY26. Coforge stands out as our high choose and a possible development chief within the IT universe.

(The writer is Head – Analysis, Wealth Administration, Motilal Oswal Monetary Companies Ltd)

(Disclaimer: Suggestions, options, views, and opinions given by specialists are their very own. These don’t signify the views of the Financial Instances)

Tags: CoforgeHCLMotilalOswalSectorseesstabilisingtechupside

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