Being chubby isn’t merely a private problem—it’s a world financial disaster within the making. Prime Minister Narendra Modi, in his latest Mann Ki Baat, didn’t simply flag weight problems as a well being challenge however as a looming monetary disaster for India and the world.
The financial burden of weight problems is rising at an alarming price, threatening GDP development, workforce productiveness, and healthcare methods worldwide.
In India alone, obesity-related prices have been $28.95 billion in 2019, accounting for 1% of GDP. If present traits persist, this burden might triple to $81.53 billion (1.57% of GDP) by 2060 and skyrocket to $838.6 billion (2.5% of GDP), as per International Weight problems Observatory.
The Financial Survey 2023-24 issued a stark warning: “If India must reap the positive factors of its demographic dividend, it’s vital that its inhabitants’s well being parameters transition in the direction of a balanced and various food plan.”
The issue is not confined to India. Globally, obesity-related prices are projected to eat 3.6% of GDP by 2025, with Thailand anticipated to lose 4.9% of its GDP and the UAE a staggering 11.04% by 2060.
These losses stem from direct medical bills, misplaced productiveness, and systemic inefficiencies. Within the U.S., weight problems prices $260.6 billion yearly in medical bills—double what normal-weight people incur. By 2060, world obesity-related healthcare spending is predicted to succeed in $18 trillion, surpassing even the financial toll of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Weight problems impacts labor markets in a number of methods. Absenteeism prices U.S. employers $26.8 billion yearly as overweight staff miss three further sick days per 12 months. Presenteeism, the place diminished bodily stamina and cognitive effectivity decrease work productiveness, accounts for a 15-30% decline in effectivity. Incapacity claims associated to obesity-driven musculoskeletal issues price the U.S. $31.1 billion yearly. In bodily demanding sectors like building and hospitality, productiveness losses exceed 5%.
Sources: World Well being Group (WHO), World Weight problems Federation
Past productiveness losses, weight problems straight impacts wages and employment. Overweight white ladies earn 11.9% lower than their normal-weight counterparts. In client-facing roles, a one-standard deviation improve in physique fats reduces wages by 2.7% for ladies. Hiring discrimination leads to 8% decrease employment charges for overweight staff, costing economies just like the U.Okay. £3.6 billion yearly in unrealized human capital.
Continual weight problems decreases workforce participation by 3.4% in OECD international locations, whereas the U.S. loses $2.6 trillion in federal tax income per decade on account of obesity-driven unemployment. Childhood weight problems lowers academic attainment, lowering lifetime earnings by $19,000–$40,000 per baby. By 2060, weight problems might shrink Australia’s GDP by 3.49% and Mexico’s by 5.01%.
A sedentary life-style and an rising reliance on ultra-processed meals (UPFs) are fueling the disaster. The Financial Survey 2024-25 has urged motion, calling for warning labels on high-sugar, high-salt, and high-fat meals, restricted advertising of junk meals (particularly to youngsters), the elimination of UPFs from colleges, hospitals, and public areas, and subsidies on more healthy meals like millets, fruits, and greens. In accordance with the World Well being Group (WHO) and the Indian Council for Analysis on Worldwide Financial Relations (ICRIER), India’s UPF sector grew at a CAGR of 13.37% from 2011 to 2021.
Family spending knowledge from the Family Consumption Expenditure Survey (HCES) 2022-23 reveals that rural households allocate 9.6% of their meals funds to processed meals, whereas city households spend 10.64%.
Regardless of these warnings, India nonetheless lacks a cohesive nationwide weight problems technique. Whereas insurance policies exist for baby vitamin and susceptible teams, no complete plan addresses weight problems throughout all demographics. In a TOI report, retired scientist Avula Lakshmaiah from the Nationwide Institute of Diet warned: “Lack of livelihood, alternative prices, and the emotional toll on account of lack of societal assist additionally contribute considerably to this financial burden.”
PM Modi is urging large names to affix India’s struggle towards weight problems, recognizing that reversing this development requires public-private collaboration. Governments worldwide are already taking motion. Australia’s sugar tax ($0.40/100g) is predicted to cut back weight problems prevalence by 2% and generate $500 million yearly for prevention packages. The U.S. Diabetes Prevention Program saves $4,300 per participant over 15 years by means of life-style interventions. Bariatric surgical procedure, although costly ($32,868 per process), reduces long-term healthcare use by 29%.
