Srivastava believes that the Nifty’s consolidation section is nearing an finish, and many of the unfavorable information that had weighed on sentiment has already been priced in.
“The basing section above 24,400–24,500 appears to be like full. The market has taken assist there 5 – 6 occasions in latest months. What we’re seeing now’s only a small pullback after a powerful 4–6 day rally,” he advised ET Now.
“I anticipate the uptrend to renew inside a day or two,” he added.
Market consolidation doubtless short-lived
In line with Srivastava, the temporary correction is a part of a wholesome market rotation sample.
“Sector rotation is pure on this section — the winners of at this time might take a breather tomorrow, after which the management shifts once more,” he mentioned.“However the general development stays upward,” he famous, hinting that traders ought to view dips as alternatives quite than indicators of weak point.
IT sector bounces again: However solely short-term?
Curiously, the Nifty IT index, which was below stress for months, has now was a pacesetter — rising as the highest sectoral gainer for 2 consecutive classes.
Srivastava attributed the rebound to pre-earnings optimism and oversold valuations, quite than a structural turnaround.
“IT shares had been priced for the worst, however earnings are unlikely to be as dangerous as anticipated. That’s why we’re seeing this bounce,” he defined.
“Nonetheless, traders ought to separate short-term alternatives from long-term potential,” he cautioned.
IT shares: Tactical play, not long-term wager
Srivastava warned that regardless of brief bursts of efficiency, IT shares have underperformed the broader market over 20 years.
“For the reason that 2000 tech bubble, IT has not often outperformed the Nifty in the long term. The final time it led meaningfully was post-COVID, and we’re nonetheless under that relative excessive,” he mentioned.
Which means IT might stay a tactical commerce, performing higher throughout defensive phases or unsure financial durations, however not a powerful long-term outperformer.
Key takeaways
- Market pullback is probably going short-term; Nifty might resume uptrend quickly.
- IT sector rally pushed by earnings optimism and oversold situations.
- Brief-term upside in IT doable, however long-term returns nonetheless lag broader market.
- Sector rotation to proceed; traders can buy on dips selectively.